This type of river flow may be more natural but the consequences, to the parties dependent on water management to provide adequate water supplies
during droughts and flood protection during years of heavy precipitation, would be disastrous.These estimates are not the result of an official Bureau of Reclamation study, since they do not plan to do a detailed
study until directed to do so. The estimates are conservative and reasonable. The Upper Basin usage was held at current levels (4.2 million acre-ft for consumption and evaporation), and the Lower Basin usage was held at
the entitlements (7.5 million for the States and 1.5 million for Mexico). The water usage in both basins has grown and will continue to grow.
The 1800's water scenario would result in the following (using full years -
there would be many more partial year losses):
- Hoover Dam electrical generation lost for 53 years
- Las Vegas/Clark County water from Mead lost for 43 years
- California water (over entitlement) lost and Mexican water curtailed for 12 years
California's entitlement is 4.4 million acre-ft. Use in 1994 and 1995 averaged 5.1 million. (During 1996 water releases from Glen Canyon Dam were well above average due to the "artificial" Grand Canyon
flood and above normal precipitation in the watershed. The California use in 1996 was 5.3 million.)
The Metropolitan Water District (MWD) aqueduct has an capacity of over 1.1 million acre-ft/year, but only half of
that capacity, is part of California's Colorado River entitlement. The other half requires a surplus to be declared by the Secretary of the Interior. MWD use of water increases dramatically in time of drought. The city
of Los Angeles alone (one of 27 members of MWD) used 1/10 of the total California entitlement during the drought of 1988-1993. Over 90% of the City of San Diego's water supply during droughts is obtained from the MWD.
If Lake Powell is considered in the hypothetical scenario (that history suggests could very conceivably happen again) neither reservoir would be completely drained, and the Bureau of Reclamation could optimize storage
such that water deliveries and electrical generation could be optimized. Without Lake Powell in place a severe drought condition could result in water use curtailments in the metropolitan areas of Southern California,
Southern Nevada, Arizona, and Utah. There would also be the loss of agricultural water to all seven states taking water from the Colorado River drainage basins.
In the second section of the Bureau package there is
nothing to add. The dam is safe, and the problems with the spillways, which occurred in 1983, have been corrected.
In the third section we do have a comment concerning the "Summary Table of Impacts". Under
"Endangered species mitigation potential" the "Completely Drained Concept" has a "Restored" status. We would argue that the verbiage in the information package and the Bureau's EIS makes it
clear that this is very questionable. It is very improbable that the Grand Canyon could be returned to the pre-dam conditions regarding the endangered fish populations. The only way this could happen would be to remove
all the dams on the Colorado River system, as well as the nonnative, introduced aquatic species.
A concluding point:
One has to wonder if the Sierra Club's Board and the Glen Canyon Institute are promoting the
draining of Lake Powell to regain Glen Canyon or to force the reduction/elimination of agriculture in, and the depopulation of the American Southwest including Southern California.